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Exchange Rate Assessment for Sub-Saharan Economies

Author

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  • Burcu Aydin

Abstract

This paper provides an exchange rate assessment for sub-Saharan African economies by using methodologies similar to those developed by the International Monetary Fund’s Consultative Group on Exchange Rate Issues. As in the World Economic Outlook (IMF, 2009a), the unbalanced panel dataset covers 182 countries from 1973 to 2014. We apply four methodologies to assess the fundamental exchange rate: macroeconomic balance, equilibrium real exchange rate, external sustainability, and purchasing power parity. Results show that the impact of macroeconomic fundamentals on the equilibrium real exchange rate is different for sub-Saharan African economies than for advanced and less advanced economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Burcu Aydin, 2010. "Exchange Rate Assessment for Sub-Saharan Economies," IMF Working Papers 2010/162, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/162
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adeniji, Sesan, 2013. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Inflation Upturn in Nigeria: Testing for Vector Error Correction Model," MPRA Paper 52062, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Blaise Gnimassoun, 2017. "Exchange rate misalignments and the external balance under a pegged currency system," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(5), pages 949-974, November.
    3. Issiaka Coulibaly, 2014. "Competitiveness and growth within the CFA franc zone: Does the switch to the Euro matter?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 139, pages 1-18.
    4. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Republic of Congo: 2013 Article IV Consultation," IMF Staff Country Reports 2013/282, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Couharde, Cécile & Coulibaly, Issiaka & Damette, Olivier, 2013. "Anchor currency and real exchange rate dynamics in the CFA Franc zone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 722-732.
    6. Issiaka Coulibaly, 2013. "Competitiveness and growth within the CFA franc zone: does the switch to the euro matter?," Erudite Working Paper 2013-04, Erudite.
    7. repec:cii:cepiei:2014-q3-139-1 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Mr. Juan P Trevino, 2011. "Oil-Price Boom and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation: Is there Dutch Disease in the Cemac?," IMF Working Papers 2011/268, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Tamsir Cham, 2016. "An Assessment of External Price Competitiveness for the Gambia," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 3(4), pages 207-216, November.
    10. Coulibaly, Issiaka & Gnimassoun, Blaise, 2013. "Optimality of a monetary union: New evidence from exchange rate misalignments in West Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 463-482.
    11. Cham, Tamsir, 2015. "An Assessment of External Price Competitiveness for The Gambia," Working Papers 1436-8, The Islamic Research and Teaching Institute (IRTI).
    12. Okot, Anjelo & Kaltenbrunner, Annina & Perez Ruiz, Daniel, 2022. "Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa's low and lower middle-income countries," EIB Working Papers 2022/12, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    13. Amjad Fakher & Muhammad Akbar & Rana Ejaz Ali Khan, 2021. "Dynamics of Relationship Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Exchange Rate: A Comparison of Advanced and Least Developed Countries," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 166-178, June.
    14. Ibrahim Elbadawi & Eman Refaat, 2015. "Competitive Real Exchange Rates are Good for the Poor: Evidence from Egyptian Household Surveys," Working Papers 966, Economic Research Forum, revised Nov 2015.
    15. BIKAI, J. Landry & OWOUNDI F., Ferdinand, 2016. "Does the choice of an exchange rate regime limits exchange rate misalignments? The example of sub-Saharan African countries," MPRA Paper 89110, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Blaise Gnimassoun, 2015. "Exchange rate misalignments and the external balance under a pegged currency system," Working Papers hal-04141421, HAL.
    17. Simone Maciel Cuiabano & Maxwell Opoku-Afari, 2018. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and Monetary Integration in the EAC Countries," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 46(3), pages 267-279, September.
    18. Durevall, Dick, 2011. "East African Community: Pre-conditions for an Effective Monetary Union," Working Papers in Economics 520, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.

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