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What Determines Bond Market Development in Sub-Saharan Africa?

Author

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  • Olatundun Janet Adelegan
  • Bozena Radzewicz-Bak

Abstract

This study empirically analyzes the determinants of bond market development in a cross section of 23 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries between 1990 and 2008. It considers the stage of development and the size of the bond market, as well as the historical, structural, institutional and macroeconomic factors driving bond market development in SSA. The study finds that the savings constraint is a key impediment to domestic bond markets development as well as financial market deepening, as it results in a low level of financial intermediation by the banks. Overall, the results show that a confluence of factors matters for the development of domestic bond markets in SSA; these include structure of the economy, investment profile, law and order, size of the banking sector, the level of economic development, and various macroeconomic factors. Policy implications include increased efforts to strengthen the investment environment and the need for a regional approach to bond market development.

Suggested Citation

  • Olatundun Janet Adelegan & Bozena Radzewicz-Bak, 2009. "What Determines Bond Market Development in Sub-Saharan Africa?," IMF Working Papers 2009/213, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2009/213
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dennis Essers & Hans J. Blommestein & Danny Cassimon & Perla Ibarlucea Flores, 2016. "Local Currency Bond Market Development in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Stock-Taking Exercise and Analysis of Key Drivers," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 1167-1194, May.
    2. Mr. Masafumi Yabara, 2012. "Capital Market Integration: Progress Ahead of the East African Community Monetary Union," IMF Working Papers 2012/018, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Essers, Dennis & Cassimon, Danny, 2012. "Washing away original sin: vulnerability to crisis and the role of local currency bonds in Sub-Saharan Africa," IOB Working Papers 2012.12, Universiteit Antwerpen, Institute of Development Policy (IOB).
    4. Florence Dafe & Dennis Essers & Ulrich Volz, 2018. "Localising sovereign debt: The rise of local currency bond markets in sub‐Saharan Africa," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(12), pages 3317-3344, December.
    5. Asian Development Bank Institute, 2017. "Asia Bond Monitor - November 2016," Working Papers id:11732, eSocialSciences.
    6. Molefhi, Koketso, 2021. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Capital Market Development in Botswana’s Economy," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(2), April.
    7. Ahmad, Wasim & Mishra, Anil V. & Daly, Kevin J., 2018. "Financial connectedness of BRICS and global sovereign bond markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-16.
    8. Patrick Omoruyi Eke & B. Uzoma Achugamonu & Simon Yunisa & Godswill Osagie Osuma, 2020. "Macroeconomic risks and financial sector stability: the Nigerian case," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 47(3), pages 233-249, September.
    9. Essers, Dennis & Cassimon, Danny, 2013. "And what about Africa's original sins?," IOB Analyses & Policy Briefs 1, Universiteit Antwerpen, Institute of Development Policy (IOB).
    10. Jamel Boukhatem, 2021. "What drives local currency bond market development in Saudi Arabia: do macroeconomic and institutional factors matter?," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    11. Kathrin Berensmann & Florence Dafe & Ulrich Volz, 2015. "Developing local currency bond markets for long-term development financing in Sub-Saharan Africa," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 31(3-4), pages 350-378.
    12. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2019. "The bond market development in Mongolia among Asian countries," MPRA Paper 95123, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Olfa Berrich & Halim Dabbou & Mohamed Imen Gallali, 2022. "Over-the-counter market and corporate bond market development," International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 47(2/3), pages 284-304.
    14. Chauvin, S. & Golitin, V., 2010. "Borrowing requirements and external debt sustainability of Sub-Saharan African countries," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 17, pages 47-77, Spring.
    15. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Ganbold Bolormaa, 2019. "The Development Stage of Bond Market in Mongolia among Asian Countries," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(6), pages 54-68, November.
    16. Endo, Tadashi, 2020. "The primary dealer system in lower-income economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    17. Victor Curtis Lartey & Yao Li, 2018. "Zero-Coupon and Forward Yield Curves for Government of Ghana Bonds," SAGE Open, , vol. 8(3), pages 21582440188, September.
    18. Sesay Brima & Abdulai Salia Brima, 2017. "Monetary Policy Effects on Private Sector Investment: Evidence from Sierra Leone," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 476-488.
    19. Al-Raeai, Arafat Mansoor & Zainol, Zairy & Abdul Rahim, Ahmad Khilmy, 2019. "The Influence of Macroeconomics Factors and Political Risk on the Sukuk Market Development in Selected GCC Countries: A Panel Data Analysis," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 53(2), pages 199-211.
    20. Smaoui, Houcem & Grandes, Martin & Akindele, Akintoye, 2017. "The Determinants of Bond Market Development: Further Evidence from Emerging and Developed Countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 148-167.
    21. Endo, Tadashi, 2022. "Endogenous market development for government securities in lower-income economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    22. Mr. Yibin Mu & Mr. Peter Phelps & Ms. Janet Gale Stotsky, 2013. "Bond Markets in Africa," IMF Working Papers 2013/012, International Monetary Fund.

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