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Trade Liberalization, Macroeconomic Adjustment, and Welfare: Unifying Trade and Macro Models

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  • Ehsan U. Choudhri
  • Mr. Hamid Faruqee
  • Mr. Stephen Tokarick

Abstract

Trade liberalization leads to long-run gains, but it can also involve costly short-run macroeconomic adjustment. The paper explores the relative importance of these effects within a dynamic general equilibrium model that captures key elements of both international trade and macroeconomic models. The welfare effect of trade liberalization is decomposed into a steady-state efficiency gain and a transitional loss associated with wage-price stickiness. Our estimates show that the transitional loss is small relative to the steady-state gain, and tends to be lower under flexible as compared to fixed exchange rates. We also show that the loss can be reduced further by a flexible price-level targeting policy rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Ehsan U. Choudhri & Mr. Hamid Faruqee & Mr. Stephen Tokarick, 2006. "Trade Liberalization, Macroeconomic Adjustment, and Welfare: Unifying Trade and Macro Models," IMF Working Papers 2006/304, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2006/304
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Sunghyun H. & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2014. "Welfare implications of trade liberalization and fiscal reform: A quantitative experiment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 198-209.

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