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Demographic Transition in the Middle East: Implications for Growth, Employment, and Housing

Author

Listed:
  • Ms. Rina Bhattacharya
  • Tarik Yousef
  • Mr. Pierre Dhonte

Abstract

The working age population is expected to grow faster in the Middle East than in any other region in the world between now and 2015—rising annually by 2.7 percent, or 10 million people. This demographic explosion presents the region with a major challenge in terms of providing jobs, incomes, and housing for the growing population, but the expanding labor force can also be seen as an opportunity to generate higher per capita income growth on a sustainable basis. The paper concludes by emphasizing the importance of market-friendly institutions in turning the challenge into opportunity.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Rina Bhattacharya & Tarik Yousef & Mr. Pierre Dhonte, 2000. "Demographic Transition in the Middle East: Implications for Growth, Employment, and Housing," IMF Working Papers 2000/041, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2000/041
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mahmud, Hassan, 2008. "Why has Growth slowed in Sub-Saharan Africa: A System GMM-IV Approach," MPRA Paper 25910, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Riadh Ben Jelili, "undated". "The Arab Region's Unemployment Problem Revisited," API-Working Paper Series 1015, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center.
    3. Balázs Egert, 2007. "Real Convergence, Price Level Convergence and Inflation Differentials in Europe," CESifo Working Paper Series 2127, CESifo.
    4. David Robalino, 2005. "Pensions in the Middle East and North Africa: Time for Change," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 7427.
    5. Francesca Marchetta, 2012. "The Impact of Migration on the Labor Markets in the Arab Mediterranean Countries," Middle East Development Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1230001-121, January.
    6. Mr. Frank E. Nothaft & Mr. S. Nuri Erbas, 2002. "The Role of Affordable Mortgages in Improving Living Standards and Stimulating Growth: A Survey of Selected Mena Countries," IMF Working Papers 2002/017, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Graham Bird, 2004. "Growth, poverty and the IMF," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(4), pages 621-636.
    8. Bouoiyour, jamal, 2006. "Migration, Diaspora et développement humain [Migration, Diaspora and Human Development]," MPRA Paper 37014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:138:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Kshetri, Nir & Ajami, Riad, 2008. "Institutional reforms in the Gulf Cooperation Council economies: A conceptual framework," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 300-318, September.
    11. Tosun Mehmet S, 2005. "The Tax Structure and Trade Liberalization of the Middle East and North Africa Region," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 20-37, April.
    12. Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, 2012. "Resource Wealth and Entrepreneurship: A Blessing or a Curse?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201224, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    13. Polyzos, Efstathios & Kuck, Simon & Abdulrahman, Khadija, 2022. "Demographic change and economic growth: The role of natural resources in the MENA region," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 1-13.
    14. Hajamini, Mehdi, 2015. "The non-linear effect of population growth and linear effect of age structure on per capita income: A threshold dynamic panel structural model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 43-58.
    15. Erbas, S. Nuri & Nothaft, Frank E., 2005. "Mortgage markets in Middle East and North African countries: Market development, poverty reduction, and growth," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 212-241, September.
    16. Bjorvatn, Kjetil & Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza, 2013. "Demographic Transition in Resource Rich Countries: A Blessing or a Curse?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 337-351.
    17. Ibrahim A. Elbadawi, "undated". "Reviving Growth in the Arab World," API-Working Paper Series 0206, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center.

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