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Correlations Between Real Interest Rates and Output in a Dynamic International Model: Evidence from G-7 Countries

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  • Ms. Jahanara Zaman

Abstract

This paper examines the extent to which a dynamic international general equilibrium model can account for observed movements in real interest rates and interest rate differentials. Using data for Group of Seven, the study finds that measured real interest rates are countercyclical in a single country and that the contemporaneous cross-correlations between international real interest differentials and output growth spreads are negative. Predictions of the baseline model are, however, inconsistent with the data. Extending the benchmark model to include habit persistence in consumption improves the match between theory and data.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Jahanara Zaman, 1998. "Correlations Between Real Interest Rates and Output in a Dynamic International Model: Evidence from G-7 Countries," IMF Working Papers 1998/179, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1998/179
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    Cited by:

    1. Alin Vasile Străchinaru, 2023. "The impact of macroeconomic indicators of economic growth: an empirical analysis of Central and Eastern European countries," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 15(8), pages 155-176, December.
    2. Hylton Hollander, 2014. "The effectiveness of countercyclical capital requirements and contingent convertible capital: a dual approach to macroeconomic stability," Working Papers 19/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

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