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Fiscal Sustainability with Non-Renewable Resources

Author

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  • Mr. Nigel A Chalk

Abstract

This paper assesses sustainable fiscal behavior in an economy where wealth is derived predominantly from a non-renewable resource. It explores the issue in a simple dynamic framework that highlights the structural weaknesses in the underlying budgetary position, takes into account the rate of depletion of a country’s natural resource base, and examines the impact of changes in a country’s terms of trade. An alternative indicator of fiscal sustainability is derived, and the principal factors determining sustainability are identified. The results of the analysis are applied to Venezuela and Kuwait.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Nigel A Chalk, 1998. "Fiscal Sustainability with Non-Renewable Resources," IMF Working Papers 1998/026, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1998/026
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Reyes-Loya, Manuel Lorenzo & Blanco, Lorenzo, 2008. "Measuring the importance of oil-related revenues in total fiscal income for Mexico," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2552-2568, September.
    2. Betty Agnani & Amaia Iza, 2011. "Growth in an Oil Abundant Economy: The Case of Venezuela," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 61-79, May.
    3. Mr. Joseph Ntamatungiro, 2004. "Fiscal Sustainability in Heavily Indebted Countries Dependenton Nonrenewable Resources: The Case of Gabon," IMF Working Papers 2004/030, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Tamasiga, Phemelo & Bondarev, Anton, 2014. "Differential games approach to trade with exhaustible resources," Working papers 2014/14, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Trinidad and tobago: The Energy Boom and Proposals for a Sustainable Fiscal Policy," IMF Working Papers 2005/197, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Chang Liu & Biqian Zhang & Xuefei Wang & Min Guo, 2022. "Account-level analytic hierarchical mixing modeling for credit risk of Chinese Government financing vehicle portfolios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2771-2798, June.
    7. Albu, Lucian-Liviu & Pelinescu, Elena, 2000. "Sustainability of public debt: a theoretical and empirical investigation," MPRA Paper 14364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. World Bank, 2003. "Azerbaijan : Public Expenditure Review," World Bank Publications - Reports 13825, The World Bank Group.
    9. Sweder van Wijnbergen & Nina Budina, 2011. "Fiscal Sustainability, Volatility and Oil Wealth: A Stochastic Analysis of Fiscal Spending Rules," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-068/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 May 2011.
    10. El Anshasy, Amany A. & Bradley, Michael D., 2012. "Oil prices and the fiscal policy response in oil-exporting countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 605-620.
    11. Bolos Marcel & Otgon Cristian & Pop Razvan, 2011. "Substantiation Of The Public Debt Sustainability Using Kalman Filter," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 323-334, December.

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