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Deer Hunting: Misalignment, Debt Accumulation, and Desired Equilibrium Exchange Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Mark P. Taylor
  • Mr. Michael J. Artis

Abstract

This paper deals with hysteresis in the desired equilibrium exchange rate (DEER) arising from misalignment. When the actual real exchange rate departs from its DEER value, current account realizations--and consequently, debt service obligations--will differ from those assumed in the initial DEER calculation, necessitating its recomputation. The paper derives a formal expression for this hysteresis effect in the DEER, studies the convergence properties of a system in which the evolution of actual exchange rates depends on the DEER and provides illustrative calculations of its historical significance. Finally, the paper derives and applies rules of thumb for computing the hysteresis effect when considering the rate of approach of an exchange rate to its DEER value.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Mark P. Taylor & Mr. Michael J. Artis, 1993. "Deer Hunting: Misalignment, Debt Accumulation, and Desired Equilibrium Exchange Rates," IMF Working Papers 1993/048, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1993/048
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sosthène Ulrich GNANSOUNOU & Audrey Chouchane, 2013. "Working Paper 166 - Misalignment of Real Effective Exchange Rates: When Should the Franc CFA be Devalued Again?," Working Paper Series 445, African Development Bank.
    2. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/6125 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6125 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř, 2004. "Would Fast Sailing towards the Euro Be Smooth? What Fundamental Real Exchange Rates Tells Us about Acceding Economies," Working Papers IES 64, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised 2004.
    5. Antoine Bouveret & Bruno Ducoudre, 2007. "On the Contingency of Equilibrium Exchange Rates with Time - Consistent Economic Policies," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01066080, HAL.
    6. Kateřina Šmídková & Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland, 2003. "Estimates of fundamental real exchange rates for the five eu pre-accession countries," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2003(4), pages 291-315.
    7. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Kateřina Šmídková & Aleš Bulíř, 2005. "Would Fast Sailing Towards the Euro Be Smooth? What Fundamental Real Exchange Rates Tell Us," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2005(4), pages 291-316.
    9. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/6125 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5221 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Babacar XSENE, 2005. "Impact du fardeau virtuel de la dette sur le taux de change réel d'équilibre des pays en développement," Macroeconomics 0501014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Hervé Joly & Céline Prigent & Nicolas Sobczak, 1996. "Le taux de change réel d'équilibre : une introduction," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 123(2), pages 1-21.
    13. Mohamed Karim & Ahmed Touzani, 2020. "The equilibrium exchange rate and measurement of misalignments in Morocco: Empirical Analysis," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(3), pages 1-3.
    14. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/6125 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Carmen Mar? Mart?ez, 2003. "Current Account Imbalances, Thriftiness And The Real Exchange Rate In A Growing Economy," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 589.03, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).

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