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Response of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate to Real Disturbances in Developing Countries

Author

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  • Mr. Mohsin S. Khan
  • Mr. Jonathan David Ostry

Abstract

Using a simple dependent - economy framework, this paper outlines the links between the equilibrium real exchange rate and some of its fundamental exogenous determinants, mainly terms of trade movements and commercial policy changes. Drawing on existing studies of trade flows in developing countries, it is possible to derive plausible quantitative ranges for the response of the equilibrium real exchange rate to both external and policy-induced shocks. The results should be particularly relevant in designing real exchange rate targets and rules that allow for movements in the equilibrium real exchange rate in response to various shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Mohsin S. Khan & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 1991. "Response of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate to Real Disturbances in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 1991/003, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1991/003
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    Cited by:

    1. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2015. "Macro Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate in a Small Open Small Island Economy: Evidence from Mauritius via BMA," MPRA Paper 68968, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2006. "Vietnam; Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 06/422, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Dumrongrittikul, Taya & Anderson, Heather M., 2016. "How do shocks to domestic factors affect real exchange rates of Asian developing countries?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 67-85.
    4. Mr. Dhaneshwar Ghura & E. Murat Ucer & Mr. Martin Mühleisen & Mr. Michael T. Hadjimichael & Mr. Roger Nord, 1994. "Effects of Macroeconomic Stabilityon Growth, Savings, and Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Investigation," IMF Working Papers 1994/098, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Simon Norton & Jill Solomon, 2000. "Future policy directions for doi moi in Vietnam," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 117-133.
    6. Ms. Xiangming Li, 2003. "Trade Liberalization and Real Exchange Rate Movement," IMF Working Papers 2003/124, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Jongwanich, Juthathip, 2009. "Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate, Misalignment, and Export Performance in Developing Asia," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 151, Asian Development Bank.
    8. Yoopi Abimanyu, 1998. "Using Indonesia's Real Exchange Rate to Test Ricardian Equivalence," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 17-29.
    9. Mr. Joannes Mongardini & Mr. Alexander Chudik, 2007. "In Search of Equilibrium: Estimating Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Sub-Saharan African Countries," IMF Working Papers 2007/090, International Monetary Fund.
    10. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Algeria: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2005/052, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Carmen M. Reinhart, 1995. "Devaluation, Relative Prices, and International Trade: Evidence from Developing Countries," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 42(2), pages 290-312, June.
    12. Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2018. "Macro Determinants Of The Real Exchange Rate In A Small Open Small Island Economy:Evidence From Mauritius Via Bma," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(1), pages 57-80, July.
    13. Mr. Steven T Phillips & Mr. Luis Catão & Mr. Luca A Ricci & Mr. Rudolfs Bems & Ms. Mitali Das & Mr. Julian Di Giovanni & Ms. Filiz D Unsal & Marola Castillo & Jungjin Lee & Jair Rodriguez & Mr. Mauric, 2013. "The External Balance Assessment (EBA) Methodology," IMF Working Papers 2013/272, International Monetary Fund.
    14. You, Kefei & Sarantis, Nicholas, 2012. "Structural breaks and the equilibrium real effective exchange rate of China: A NATREX approach," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 1146-1163.
    15. Schweickert, Rainer & Nunnenkamp, Peter & Hiemenz, Ulrich, 1992. "Stabilisierung durch feste Wechselkurse: Fehlschlag in Entwicklungsländern - Erfolgsrezept für Osteuropa?," Kiel Discussion Papers 181, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    16. Ernesto R. Gantman & Marcelo P. Dabós, 2018. "Does trade openness influence the real effective exchange rate? New evidence from panel time-series," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 91-113, March.
    17. International Monetary Fund, 2003. "The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country: The Case of Russia," IMF Working Papers 2003/093, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Taya Dumrongrittikul & Heather M. Anderson, 2013. "Do Policy-Related Shocks Affect Real Exchange Rates of Asian Developing Countries?," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    19. repec:idn:journl:v:21:y:2018-12:i:1:p:1-24 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Todd Schneider & Nabil Ben Ltaifa & Mr. Faisal Ahmed & Mr. Saade Chami, 2007. "Yemen: Exchange Rate Policy in the Face of Dwindling Oil Exports," IMF Working Papers 2007/005, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Subrata Ghatak & Jalal Siddiki, 2001. "The use of the ARDL approach in estimating virtual exchange rates in India," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 573-583.
    22. Miss Taline Koranchelian, 2005. "The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country: Algeria’s Experience," IMF Working Papers 2005/135, International Monetary Fund.
    23. Biswajit Maitra & Dhritiman Ganguli, 2024. "Fiscal policy and real exchange rate variations in India," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 619-640, September.
    24. Hong-Ghi Min & Sang-Ook Shin & Judith A. McDonald, 2015. "Income Inequality and the Real Exchange Rate: Linkages and Evidence," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 16(1), pages 115-141, May.

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