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An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogeneity under the assumption of rational expectations. The estimates and the test statistics suggest that the model could serve well as a framework for developing-country macroeconomic analysis. An interesting feature of the specification of the model is that it allows the hypothesis of capital mobility to be explicitly tested. The empirical analysis suggests that on average developing countries tend to exhibit a high degree of capital mobility.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 1990. "An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls," IMF Working Papers 1990/011, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1990/011
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    Cited by:

    1. Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Wambai, Murjanatu, 2012. "Is the Naira-US Dollar Real Exchange Rate Misaligned?," MPRA Paper 98354, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Dean DeRosa, 1992. "Protection and export performance in Sub-Saharan Africa," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 128(1), pages 88-124, March.
    3. Sara Barcenilla-Visús & Carmen López-Pueyo, 2000. "Macroeconomic competitiveness in the Europe of the Twelve: An application to 1969–93," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 6(4), pages 597-618, November.

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    Keywords

    WP; least squares; money demand;
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