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A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Gross Financing Needs

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
  • Mr. Leonardo Martinez
  • Jorge Restrepo

Abstract

This guide presents the analytical underpinnings and a manual for the Public Debt Dynamics Tool with Gross Financing Needs (DDT_GFN), an extension of the Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT). The DDT projects public debt as percent of GDP under a baseline and alternative scenarios. The DDT_GFN presents debt-to-GDP projections and the corresponding public gross financing needs (GFN)-to-GDP projections for all DDT scenarios, including fan charts for both public debt and GFN. The DDT_GFN also computes fiscal adjustment paths for a user defined GFN target and adjustment period. Twelve often publicly available macrofiscal variables are needed to perform a rich analysis of public debt and GFN dynamics. The DDT_GFN was developed by the IMF Institute for Capacity Development to be used for its capacity development work on macroeconomic frameworks for forecasting and policy analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea & Mr. Leonardo Martinez & Jorge Restrepo, 2025. "A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Gross Financing Needs," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 2025/001, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imftnm:2025/001
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