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The Revenue Administration Gap Analysis Program: An Analytical Framework for Personal Income Tax Gap Estimation

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

It is generally difficult to measure revenue not collected due to noncompliance, but a growing number of countries now regularly produce and publish estimated revenue losses. Good tax gap analysis enables the detection of changes in taxpayer behavior by consistent estimates over time. This Technical Note sets out the theoretical concepts for personal income tax (PIT) gap estimation, the different measurement approaches available, and their implications for the scope and presentation of statistics. The note also focuses on the practical steps for measuring the PIT gap by establishing a random audit program to collect data, and how to scale findings from the sample to the population.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 2021. "The Revenue Administration Gap Analysis Program: An Analytical Framework for Personal Income Tax Gap Estimation," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 2021/009, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imftnm:2021/009
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