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Wage Moderation in Crises: Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Jörg Decressin
  • Mr. Raphael A Espinoza
  • Mr. Ioannis Halikias
  • Mr. Michael Kumhof
  • Mr. Daniel Leigh
  • Mr. Prakash Loungani
  • Mr. Paulo A Medas
  • Susanna Mursula
  • Mr. Antonio Spilimbergo
  • Ms. TengTeng Xu

Abstract

The paper studies the impacts of wage moderation in the euro area. Simulation results show that if a single euro area crisis-hit economy undertakes wage moderation, the impact on output is positive for that economy and for the entire euro area. If all crisis-hit economies undertake wage moderation together, their output still expands, albeit to a lesser degree. If the wage moderation is accompanied by cuts in policy interest rates by the central bank—and by quantitative easing once interest rates hit the zero lower bound—then output for the entire euro area expands as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jörg Decressin & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mr. Ioannis Halikias & Mr. Michael Kumhof & Mr. Daniel Leigh & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Paulo A Medas & Susanna Mursula & Mr. Antonio Spilimbergo & Ms. , 2015. "Wage Moderation in Crises: Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2015/022, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfsdn:2015/022
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Milone, Luciano Marcello, 2020. "Structural Reforms in the European Union: What is New after the Crisis?," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 73(3), pages 351-372.
    2. Mr. Alvar Kangur, 2018. "Competitiveness and Wage Bargaining Reform in Italy," IMF Working Papers 2018/061, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Özlem Onaran, 2016. "Secular stagnation and progressive economic policy alternatives," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 13(2), pages 229-240, September.
    4. Milivojevic, Lazar & Tatar, Balint, 2021. "Fixed exchange rate - a friend or foe of labor cost adjustments?," IMFS Working Paper Series 152, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Portugal: Ex Post Evaluation of Exceptional Access Under the 2011 Extended Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Authorities Views," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/302, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Inés P. Murillo Huertas & Raúl Ramos & Hipólito Simón, 2020. "Revisiting interregional wage differentials: New evidence from Spain with matched employer‐employee data," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 296-347, March.
    7. Mitali Das, 2023. "Probabilistic assessment of external sustainability in Portugal," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 22(1), pages 5-29, January.

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