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Dollar Not So Dominant: Dollar Invoicing Has Only a Small Effect on Trade Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Joseph E. Gagnon

    (Peterson Institute for International Economics)

  • Madi Sarsenbayev

    (Peterson Institute for International Economics)

Abstract

This paper estimates and tests four models of the effects of exchange rate changes on export prices. It supports the Goldberg and Knetter (1997) canonical result that exporters adjust their prices by about half of any movement in exchange rates. A new twist is that exchange rate movements against importing countries account for only three-fifths of this price adjustment, while exchange rate movements against a dominant currency account for the other two-fifths. The dominant currency is the euro in Europe and Africa and the US dollar in Asia and the Western Hemisphere. The recent claim that the dollar is the most important driver of export prices (Gopinath et al. 2020) is shown to be valid only for the smallest exporting economies. For the bulk of international trade, the extra effects of the dollar (or the euro) beyond their effects as exporter or importer currencies are relatively modest.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph E. Gagnon & Madi Sarsenbayev, 2021. "Dollar Not So Dominant: Dollar Invoicing Has Only a Small Effect on Trade Prices," Working Paper Series WP12-16, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:iie:wpaper:wp21-16
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    File URL: https://www.piie.com/publications/working-papers/dollar-not-so-dominant-dollar-invoicing-has-only-small-effect-trade
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Frohm, Erik, 2023. "Dominant currencies and the export supply channel," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 1-18.
    2. Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine & Ben Zaied, Younes & Ben Ameur, Hachmi, 2023. "Recent developments in exchange rate pass-through: What have we learned from uncertain times?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate pass-through; pricing to market; dominant currency paradigm; local currency pricing; producer currency pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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