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Pengaruh Hari Besar Pada Komoditas Utama Inflasi Di Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Sri Liani Suselo

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Nurhemi

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Guruh Suryani R.

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

Penelitian ini mengkaji pengaruh hari besar, khususnya Ramadan pada tingkat inflasi untuk komoditas utama inflasi. Penelitian dilakukan dengan menggunakan dua data, yakni data inflasi bulanan BPS dan data inflasi mingguan dari Survei Pemantauan Harga Bank Indonesia dengan periode pengamatan tahun 2006–2012. Penentuan komoditas dan kota didasarkan pada bobot dalam perhitungan inflasi, yakni komoditas beras, minyak goreng, daging ayam, daging sapi, telur ayam, dan emas perhiasan; sedangkan untuk kota dipilih Jakarta, Surabaya, Bandung, Semarang, Medan, Palembang, dan Makassar. Analisis dilakukan dengan metode ARMA. Untuk data inflasi bulanan BPS, Ramadan berpengaruh signifikan untuk komoditas daging sapi, daging ayam, dan telur ayam, sedangkan untuk data inflasi mingguan Bank Indonesia, diperoleh hasil bahwa Ramadan signifikan berpengaruh pada inflasi adalah berbeda-beda antarkota, tetapi komoditas yang selalu signifikan di enam kota adalah daging sapi.

Suggested Citation

  • Sri Liani Suselo & Nurhemi & Guruh Suryani R., 2013. "Pengaruh Hari Besar Pada Komoditas Utama Inflasi Di Indonesia," Working Papers WP/16/2013, Bank Indonesia.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:wpaper:wp162013
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    File URL: http://publication-bi.org/repec/idn/wpaper/WP162013.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2013
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ramadan; Inflasi; Komoditas Utama;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General

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