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Fiscal Rules and the Behavior of Public Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean: Towards Growth-Friendly Fiscal Policy?: The case of Argentina

Author

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  • Artana, Daniel
  • Moskovits, Cynthia
  • Puig, Jorge
  • Templado, Ivana

Abstract

This paper analyzes the implementation of Fiscal Rules (FR) in Argentina. Several clear attempts to establish a FR at the national level are identified. The analysis suggests that the environment matters. The only FR that was binding in the period was approved in 2004 during an economic boom, with the country under a program with the IMF and with high political support. During the world financial crisis the expenditure ceilings were relaxed, however, and current primary expenditures soared. Simulations show that a countercyclical fund could have been implemented even after reducing highly distorting taxes at the federal and provincial levels, and at the same time securing a high level of capital expenditure as a share of GDP, had Argentina complied with the 2004 FR. Moreover, an econometric exploration of the link between flexible FRs and public investment finds that a flexible FR helps to mitigate the negative effects of fiscal consolidations on provincial public investment. Based on the previous analysis, guidelines for a proposal for a FR in Argentina are provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Artana, Daniel & Moskovits, Cynthia & Puig, Jorge & Templado, Ivana, 2021. "Fiscal Rules and the Behavior of Public Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean: Towards Growth-Friendly Fiscal Policy?: The case of Argentina," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 11049, Inter-American Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:idb:brikps:11049
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0003057
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ardanaz, Martín & Cavallo, Eduardo A. & Izquierdo, Alejandro, 2023. "Fiscal Rules: Challenges and Reform Opportunities for Emerging Markets," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12691, Inter-American Development Bank.
    2. Carolina Ulloa-Suarez & Oscar Valencia, 2022. "Do governments stick to their announced fiscal rules? A study of Latin American and the Caribbean countries," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03994711, HAL.
    3. Valencia, Oscar & Ulloa-Suarez, Carolina, 2022. "Numerical Compliance with Fiscal Rules in Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12405, Inter-American Development Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Argentina; public investment; Fiscal Rules;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management

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