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Frühindikator für Arbeitslosigkeit und Beschäftigung: IAB-Arbeitsmarktbarometer 2.0 (Leading indicator for unemployment and employment in Germany : IAB labour market barometer 2.0)

Author

Listed:
  • Hutter, Christian

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Weber, Enzo

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany ; Univ. Regensburg)

  • Schmidt, Katrin
  • Delfs, Silke

Abstract

"Besides unemployment, employment is equally important for the labour market. Especially during the previous years, in Germany both variables performed rather differently, with employment experiencing a much stronger development than unemployment. The IAB labour market barometer that has been signalling the development of seasonally adjusted unemployment in the short term so far, is now upgraded to a more comprehensive leading indicator for the German labour market: From now on, it comprises - together with an outlook on unemployment (component A) - also an outlook on employment (component B). The IAB labour market barometer itself is calculated as the average of the partial indicators. This Brief Report shows how the new component B is constructed and how it performs in terms of forecast accuracy." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Hutter, Christian & Weber, Enzo & Schmidt, Katrin & Delfs, Silke, 2016. "Frühindikator für Arbeitslosigkeit und Beschäftigung: IAB-Arbeitsmarktbarometer 2.0 (Leading indicator for unemployment and employment in Germany : IAB labour market barometer 2.0)," IAB-Kurzbericht 201609, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabkbe:201609
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    File URL: https://doku.iab.de/kurzber/2016/kb0916.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sabine Klinger & Enzo Weber, 2014. "Seit der Großen Rezession: schwächerer Zusammenhang von Konjunktur und Beschäftigung," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 94(10), pages 756-758, October.
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