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New Bond Princing Models with Applications to Japanese Data

Author

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  • Takeaki Kariya
  • Hiroshi Tsuda

Abstract

In this paper, first the cross-sectional bond pricing model for individual bonds Kariya (1993) proposed by formulating stochastic discount function (term structure) is applied to Japanese T-bond data and it is observed that the model performs very well as it stands. Second, we generalize the cross-sectional model into two types of time-dependent Markov models (TDM's ) with the term structure of discount rates of each bond at \plain\f2\fs20\i t \plain\f2\fs20 being dependent on the one at \plain\f2\fs20\i t-\plain\f2\fs20 1, and apply it to the same data to find significantly improved results over those of the cross-sectional model. In fact, almost all the differences between actual prices and model values are less than 0.5 yen in each month over 12 years. On the basis of our analysis, we propose a TDM as a model for T-bond trading.

Suggested Citation

  • Takeaki Kariya & Hiroshi Tsuda, 1993. "New Bond Princing Models with Applications to Japanese Data," Discussion Paper Series a283, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:hituec:a283
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