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Some Remarks on the Causal Inference for Historical Persistence

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  • KOGURE, Katsuo
  • 小暮, 克夫

Abstract

A growing body of literature examines the relationships between historical events and contemporary economic outcomes. Recent studies estimate the causal effects using detailed historical data and contemporary microdata of individuals and/or households. In this paper, we discuss conceptual and econometric issues inherent in the causal inference following the potential outcomes framework. Using an empirical example, we also discuss a simple alternative approach to avoid these issues that is coherent with the potential outcomes framework.

Suggested Citation

  • KOGURE, Katsuo & 小暮, 克夫, 2017. "Some Remarks on the Causal Inference for Historical Persistence," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-44, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:hiasdp:hias-e-44
    Note: May 2017; reviced in September 2017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    history; economic development; causal effect; Rubin causal model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • N01 - Economic History - - General - - - Development of the Discipline: Historiographical; Sources and Methods

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