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The Credit Supply Channel of Monetary Policy Tightening and its Distributional Impacts

Author

Listed:
  • Joshua Bosshardt

    (Federal Housing Finance Agency)

  • Marco Di Maggio

    (Harvard University)

  • Ali Kakhbod

    (University of California, Berkeley)

  • Amir Kermani

    (University of California, Berkeley)

Abstract

This paper studies how tightening monetary policy transmits to the economy through the mortgage market and sheds new light on the distributional consequences at both the individual and regional levels. We find that mortgage supply factors, specifically restrictions on the debt-to-income (DTI) ratio, account for the majority of the decline in mortgages. These effects are even more pronounced for young and middle-income borrowers who find themselves excluded from the credit market. Also, regions with historically high DTI ratios exhibited greater reductions in mortgage originations, house prices, and consumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Joshua Bosshardt & Marco Di Maggio & Ali Kakhbod & Amir Kermani, 2023. "The Credit Supply Channel of Monetary Policy Tightening and its Distributional Impacts," FHFA Staff Working Papers 23-03, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
    • Handle: RePEc:hfa:wpaper:23-03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bruno Albuquerque & Martin Iseringhausen & Frederic Opitz, 2024. "The Housing Supply Channel of Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2024/023, International Monetary Fund.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    interest rates; mortgage lending; house prices; debt-to-income (DTI);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth

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