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Medium-Term Industrial Labor Demand Forecast for Hungary

Author

Listed:
  • John Sutherland Earle

    (George Mason University, Central European University)

  • Almos Telegdy

    (Institute of Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

This study forecasts the Hungarian labor demand for 10 broad economic sectors for 2015. Using aggregate data for the period of 1992-2010 and a structural macroeconomic model, we find that the relative importance of agriculture and industry is likely to fall in total employment while the share of construction, trade and financial intermediation will increase.

Suggested Citation

  • John Sutherland Earle & Almos Telegdy, 2011. "Medium-Term Industrial Labor Demand Forecast for Hungary," Budapest Working Papers on the Labour Market 1111, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:has:bworkp:1111
    as

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    File URL: http://www.econ.core.hu/file/download/bwp/bwp1111.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. DavidBrown & JohnS. Earle & Álmos Telegdy, 2010. "Employment and Wage Effects of Privatisation: Evidence from Hungary, Romania, Russia and Ukraine," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(545), pages 683-708, June.
    2. O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (ed.), 1999. "Handbook of Labor Economics," Handbook of Labor Economics, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 3, number 3.
    3. Yundan Gong & Holger Gorg & Sara Maioli, 2007. "Employment Effects of Privatisation and Foreign Acquisition of Chinese State-owned Enterprises," International Journal of the Economics of Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 197-214.
    4. Davis, Steven J. & Haltiwanger, John, 1999. "Gross job flows," Handbook of Labor Economics, in: O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (ed.), Handbook of Labor Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 41, pages 2711-2805, Elsevier.
    5. Steven J. Davis & John Haltiwanger, 1992. "Gross Job Creation, Gross Job Destruction, and Employment Reallocation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(3), pages 819-863.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    labor demand; forecasting; Hungary;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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