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Evaluating a class of nonlinear time series models

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  • Heinen, Florian

Abstract

We consider a recently proposed class of nonlinear time series models and focus mainly on misspecification testing for models of such type. Following the modeling cycle for nonlinear time series models of specification, estimation and evaluation we first treat how to choose an adequate transition function and then contribute to the evaluation stage by proposing tests against serial correlation, no remaining nonlinearity and parameter constancy. We also consider evaluation by generalized impulse response functions. The finite sample properties of the proposed tests are studied via simulation. We illustrate the use of these methods by an application to real exchange rate data.

Suggested Citation

  • Heinen, Florian, 2010. "Evaluating a class of nonlinear time series models," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-445, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    • Handle: RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-445
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    File URL: http://diskussionspapiere.wiwi.uni-hannover.de/pdf_bib/dp-445.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nonlinearities; Smooth transition; Specification testing; Real exchange rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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