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La vulnérabilité économique, défi persistant à la croissance africaine

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  • Patrick Guillaumont

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

While after a long stagnation growth seems to have come back in Africa, the issue remains to know whether the new African growth is sustainable. This paper examines to what extent African growth is vulnerable to exogeneous shocks and what are the implications for international development finance. First it evidences the persistent vulnerability of African economies with regard to the U.N. Economic Vulnerability Index (EVI), using a first retrospective series of that index. Second, relying on several recent works, it underlinesthat structural vulnerability matters, in particular in Africa. Finally it considers how international development finance can be used to face the vulnerability of African economies, suggesting to use structural vulnerability as one of the aid allocation criteria and to adapt aid modalities so that it can effectively serve as an insurance.

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  • Patrick Guillaumont, 2011. "La vulnérabilité économique, défi persistant à la croissance africaine," Working Papers halshs-00557161, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00557161
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00557161
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    Cited by:

    1. Barthélémy Biao, 2017. "Analyse des effets de l'instabilité de l'aide publique au développement (APD) sur la croissance économique dans les pays africains," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(3), pages 416-428, September.
    2. Henri Atangana Ondoa, 2013. "Gouvernance et croissance économique en Afrique," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 25(2), pages 130-147, June.
    3. Valérie ANGEON & Samuel BATES, 2015. "L'Agriculture, Facteur De Vulnérabilité Des Petites Économies Insulaires ?," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 105-131.

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