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Measuring herding intensity: a hard task

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  • Raphaëlle Bellando

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans [2008-2011] - UO - Université d'Orléans - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper addresses the traditional Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (LSV) herding measure and points out its lack of internal consistency. Frey, Herbst and Walter (2007) have shown by empirical simulations that LSV is biased. We provide a formal explanation of this bias and propose a more appropriate measure of herding. We then turn to the properties of the new indicator proposed by Frey, Herbst and Walter (2007): we show that it is accurate only under very strong assumptions, and propose a corrected version of their indicator. We also show that the real herding value is within an interval bounded by LSV and FHW. Finally, as both corrected measures require a prior knowledge of some parameters of the distribution, we conclude that measuring accurately herding intensity is a much more difficult task than considered up to now in the empirical literature.

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  • Raphaëlle Bellando, 2010. "Measuring herding intensity: a hard task," Working Papers halshs-00517610, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00517610
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00517610
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    1. Chang, Eric C. & Cheng, Joseph W. & Khorana, Ajay, 2000. "An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1651-1679, October.
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    5. Demirer, RIza & Kutan, Ali M., 2006. "Does herding behavior exist in Chinese stock markets?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 123-142, April.
    6. Svitlana Voronkova & Martin T. Bohl, 2005. "Institutional Traders’ Behavior in an Emerging Stock Market: Empirical Evidence on Polish Pension Fund Investors," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(7‐8), pages 1537-1560, September.
    7. Gleason, Kimberly C. & Mathur, Ike & Peterson, Mark A., 2004. "Analysis of intraday herding behavior among the sector ETFs," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(5), pages 681-694, December.
    8. Mr. Sunil Sharma & Sushil Bikhchandani, 2000. "Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Review," IMF Working Papers 2000/048, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Oehler, Andreas & Chao, George Goeth-Chi, 2000. "Institutional Herding in Bond Markets," Discussion Papers 13, University of Bamberg, Chair of Finance.
    10. Hwang, Soosung & Salmon, Mark, 2004. "Market stress and herding," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 585-616, September.
    11. Russ Wermers, 1999. "Mutual Fund Herding and the Impact on Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(2), pages 581-622, April.
    12. Grinblatt, Mark & Titman, Sheridan & Wermers, Russ, 1995. "Momentum Investment Strategies, Portfolio Performance, and Herding: A Study of Mutual Fund Behavior," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1088-1105, December.
    13. Svitlana Voronkova & Martin T. Bohl, 2005. "Institutional Traders' Behavior in an Emerging Stock Market: Empirical Evidence on Polish Pension Fund Investors," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(7-8), pages 1537-1560.
    14. Sam Wylie, 2005. "Fund Manager Herding: A Test of the Accuracy of Empirical Results Using U.K. Data," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(1), pages 381-403, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kremer, Stephanie & Nautz, Dieter, 2011. "Short-term herding of institutional traders: New evidence from the German stock market," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-015, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    2. Vuong Thao Tran & Hoa Nguyen & Chien Ting Lin, 2017. "Herding behaviour in the Australian loan market and its impact on bank loan quality," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 57(4), pages 1149-1176, December.
    3. Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & Raphaëlle Bellando & Sébastien Ringuedé & Anne-Gaël Vaubourg, 2013. "Herding in French stock markets: Empirical evidence from equity mutual funds," Post-Print halshs-01066726, HAL.
    4. Frey, Stefan & Herbst, Patrick & Walter, Andreas, 2014. "Measuring mutual fund herding – A structural approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 219-239.
    5. Stephanie Kremer & Dieter Nautz, 2013. "Short†term Herding of Institutional Traders: New Evidence from the German Stock Market," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 19(4), pages 730-746, September.
    6. Mavruk, Taylan, 2022. "Analysis of herding behavior in individual investor portfolios using machine learning algorithms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

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