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The Electoral Effects of State-Sponsored Homophobia

Author

Listed:
  • Violeta Haas Violeta

    (TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - UT - Université de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, IAST - Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse)

  • Konstantin Bogatyrev

    (CESPRI - Bocconi University)

  • Tarik Abou-Chadi

    (University of Oxford)

  • Heike Klüver

    (University of Konstanz)

  • Lukas F. Stoetzer

    (Universität Witten/Herdecke)

Abstract

Do strategies of state-sponsored homophobia translate into electoral gains?While a growing body of literature documents the increasing politicization of LGBTQ- and gender-related issues by illiberal elites, little is known about the electoral effects of these strategies. We address this important question by studying whether anti-LGBTQ mobilization pays off electorally for the initiating party. Empirically, we study the adoption of anti-LGBTQ resolu-tions in many Polish municipalities prior to the 2019 parliamentary election. Using a synthetic difference-in-differences design, we find that these resolu-tions significantly depressed turnout in affected municipalities, with oppo-sition parties showing less mobilization capacity. By contrast, turnout for the incumbent Law and Justice Party increased substantially. Overall, this study's findings are relevant for understanding the electoral consequences of both elite-led mobilization against stigmatized and discriminated groups, and policies of subnational democratic backsliding.

Suggested Citation

  • Violeta Haas Violeta & Konstantin Bogatyrev & Tarik Abou-Chadi & Heike Klüver & Lukas F. Stoetzer, 2025. "The Electoral Effects of State-Sponsored Homophobia," Working Papers hal-04993657, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04993657
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04993657v1
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