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The phasing out of EU agricultural export subsidies : impacts of TWO management schemes

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandre Gohin

    (ESR - Unité de recherche d'Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

  • Patrice Gautier

    (Independent)

Abstract

Les présentes négociations commerciales multilatérales conduites à l'Organisation mondiale du commerce vont probablement conduire à une suppression des subventions directes aux exportations de produits agricoles et agroalimentaires. L'article propose une évaluation au niveau européen des impacts économiques d'un tel scénario. La contribution majeure de l'article est de comparer deux modes de gestion de cette suppression. Le premier mode suppose un ajustement au choc par une nouvelle baisse des prix de soutien des produits agricoles tandis que le second mode considère un renforcement des mesures de contrôle de l'offre domestique. Après une comparaison théorique de ces deux modes de gestion, l'article fournit une évaluation empirique s'appuyant sur une modélisation en équilibre général calculable. Les résultats montrent clairement que la suppression des exportations subventionnées affecte très fortement la filière laitière et ce quel que soit le mode de gestion. Ils montrent surtout que le choix d'un mode de gestion a des conséquences substantielles sur les gains et pertes des différents agents économiques. Les implications politiques, notamment en terme d'évolution de la politique agricole commune, sont finalement discutées.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Gohin & Patrice Gautier, 2008. "The phasing out of EU agricultural export subsidies : impacts of TWO management schemes," Working Papers hal-01931642, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01931642
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01931642
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