Political elections and uncertainty -Are BRICS markets equally exposed to Trump's agenda?
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01429537
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2017. "Political elections and uncertainty -Are BRICS markets equally exposed to Trump's agenda?," Papers 1701.02182, arXiv.org.
References listed on IDEAS
- Hashem Pesaran & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014.
"Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
1407, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4736, CESifo.
- Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 6605, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Dodd, Peter & Warner, Jerold B., 1983. "On corporate governance : A study of proxy contests," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(1-4), pages 401-438, April.
- Baur, Dirk G. & McDermott, Thomas K., 2010.
"Is gold a safe haven? International evidence,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1886-1898, August.
- Dirk G. Baur & Thomas K. McDermott, "undated". "Is gold a safe haven? International evidence," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp310, IIIS.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016.
"The Price of Political Uncertainty: Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election and the U.S. Stock Markets,"
Papers
1612.06200, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2017.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2017. "The Price of Political Uncertainty: Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election and the U.S. Stock Markets," Working Papers hal-01419295, HAL.
- Lubos Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2012.
"Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 67(4), pages 1219-1264, August.
- Lubos Pastor & Pietro Veronesi, 2010. "Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices," NBER Working Papers 16128, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronesi, Pietro & Pástor, Luboš, 2010. "Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 7897, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pietro Veronesi & Lubos Pastor, 2011. "Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices," 2011 Meeting Papers 86, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2010.
"Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold,"
The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 217-229, May.
- Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2007. "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp198, IIIS.
- Canes-Wrone, Brandice & Park, Jee-Kwang, 2014. "Elections, Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(1), pages 83-106, January.
- Jonathan Brogaard & Andrew Detzel, 2015. "The Asset-Pricing Implications of Government Economic Policy Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(1), pages 3-18, January.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014.
"Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4736, CESifo Group Munich.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 86257, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Hashem Pesaran & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1407, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016. "Brexit concerns, UK and European equities: A lose-lose scenario?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(3), pages 1686-1693.
- Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk, 2016. "Brexit concerns, UK and European equities: A lose-lose scenario?," MPRA Paper 70519, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 1177-1216, March.
- Kyle Jurado & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Serena Ng, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 19456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pantzalis, Christos & Stangeland, David A. & Turtle, Harry J., 2000. "Political elections and the resolution of uncertainty: The international evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1575-1604, October.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2009. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 623-685, May.
- Nicholas Bloom, 2007. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," NBER Working Papers 13385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hood, Matthew & Malik, Farooq, 2013. "Is gold the best hedge and a safe haven under changing stock market volatility?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 47-52.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Rıza & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2014. "What drives herding in oil-rich, developing stock markets? Relative roles of own volatility and global factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 418-440.
- Brown, Stephen J. & Warner, Jerold B., 1985. "Using daily stock returns : The case of event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 3-31, March.
- Kim, Harold Y. & Mei, Jianping P., 2001. "What makes the stock market jump? An analysis of political risk on Hong Kong stock returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(7), pages 1003-1016, December. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:- Pham, Huy Nguyen Anh & Ramiah, Vikash & Moosa, Nisreen & Huynh, Tam & Pham, Nhi, 2018. "The financial effects of Trumpism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 264-274.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016.
"The Price of Political Uncertainty: Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election and the U.S. Stock Markets,"
Papers
1612.06200, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2017.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2017. "The Price of Political Uncertainty: Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election and the U.S. Stock Markets," Working Papers hal-01419295, HAL.
- Michele Piffer & Maximilian Podstawski, 2018.
"Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(616), pages 3266-3284, December.
- Michele Piffer & Maximilian Podstawski, 2016. "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1549, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Michele Piffer & Maximilian Podstawski, 2017. "Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold," CESifo Working Paper Series 6327, CESifo.
- Jamal Bouoiyour, Refk Selmi, 2018.
"Are UK industries resilient in dealing with uncertainty? The case of Brexit,"
European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 15(2), pages 277-292, December.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016. "Are UK industries resilient in dealing with uncertainty? The case of Brexit," Working papers of CATT hal-01880322, HAL.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016. "Are UK industries resilient in dealing with uncertainty? The case of Brexit," Working Papers hal-01880322, HAL.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2018. "Are UK industries resilient in dealing with uncertainty? The case of Brexit," Post-Print hal-01736632, HAL.
- Chan, Kam Fong & Gray, Philip & Gray, Stephen & Zhong, Angel, 2020. "Political uncertainty, market anomalies and Presidential honeymoons," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Luu Duc Huynh, Toan, 2020. "The effect of uncertainty on the precious metals market: New insights from Transfer Entropy and Neural Network VAR," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2020.
"The financial costs of political uncertainty: Evidence from the 2016 US presidential elections,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 67(2), pages 166-185, May.
- Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2019. "The financial costs of political uncertainty: Evidence from the 2016 US presidential elections," Post-Print hal-02408908, HAL.
- Redl, Chris, 2020.
"Uncertainty matters: Evidence from close elections,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Chris Redl, 2019. "Uncertainty Matters: Evidence from Close Elections," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Redl, Chris, 2018. "Uncertainty matters: evidence from close elections," Bank of England working papers 722, Bank of England.
- Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Li, Lei & Yin, Libo & Zhou, Yimin, 2016. "Exogenous shocks and the spillover effects between uncertainty and oil price," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 224-234.
- Zhang, Hongwei & Demirer, Riza & Huang, Jianbai & Huang, Wanjun & Tahir Suleman, Muhammad, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and gold return dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Bianconi, Marcelo & Esposito, Federico & Sammon, Marco, 2021.
"Trade policy uncertainty and stock returns,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Marcelo Bianconi & Federico Esposito & Marco Sammon, 2019. "Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0830, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
- Esposito, Federico & Bianconi, Marcelo & Sammon, Marco, 2020. "Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 99874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Federico Esposito & Marcelo Bianconi & Marco Sammon, 2020. "Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0834, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019. "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 8000, CESifo.
- Elgammal, Mohammed M. & Ahmed, Walid M.A. & Alshami, Abdullah, 2021. "Price and volatility spillovers between global equity, gold, and energy markets prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Tarek A Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019.
"Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(4), pages 2135-2202.
- Hassan, Tarek & Hollander, Stephan & van Lent, Laurence & Tahoun, Ahmed, 2017. "Firm-level political risk: Measurement and effects," CEPR Discussion Papers 12436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Tarek A. Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," Boston University - Department of Economics - The Institute for Economic Development Working Papers Series dp-325, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Tarek A. Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2019. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," Working Papers Series 96, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Tarek A. Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2017. "Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects," NBER Working Papers 24029, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bree J. Lang & Pratish Patel, 2023. "Funding infrastructure under uncertainty: evidence from tax credit prices," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(3), pages 635-677, June.
- Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2022.
"What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 45-60.
- Breitenlechner, Max & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Working Paper Series 2613, European Central Bank.
- Max Breitenlechner & Georgios Georgiadis & Ben Schumann, 2021. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," Working Papers 2021-05, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
- Max Breitenlechner & Georgios Georgiadis & Ben Schumann, 2021. "What goes around comes around: How large are spillbacks from US monetary policy?," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2021_003, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Selmi, Refk & Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Bouoiyour, Jamal, 2018.
"Is Bitcoin a hedge, a safe haven or a diversifier for oil price movements? A comparison with gold,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 787-801.
- Refk Selmi & Walid Mensi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2018. "Is Bitcoin a hedge, a safe haven or a diversifier for oil price movements? A comparison with gold," Post-Print hal-01879667, HAL.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016.
"The responses of BRICS Equities to China's Slowdown: A Multi-Scale Causality Analysis,"
Working Papers
hal-01880323, HAL.
- Jamal BOUOIYOUR & Refk SELMI, 2016. "The responses of BRICS Equities to China's Slowdown: A Multi-Scale Causality Analysis," Working Papers 2015-2016_7, CATT - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour, revised May 2016.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2016. "The responses of BRICS Equities to China's Slowdown: A Multi-Scale Causality Analysis," Working papers of CATT hal-01880323, HAL.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Panagiotakopoulou, Sofia, 2018.
"Oil price shocks and uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 42-53.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Panagiotakopoulou, Sofia, 2018. "Oil Price Shocks and Uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?," MPRA Paper 96271, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Sofia Panagiotakopoulou, 2018. "Oil Price Shocks and Uncertainty: How stable is their relationship over time?," BAFES Working Papers BAFES13, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
- Kwabi, Frank Obenpong & Boateng, Agyenim & Wonu, Chizindu & Kariuki, Charles & Du, Anna, 2023. "Political uncertainty and cross-border equity portfolio allocation decisions: International evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
More about this item
Keywords
US presidential election; Trump's agenda; stock markets; BRICS; event study; social media; search queries; public opinion polls;
All these keywords.NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-CIS-2017-04-16 (Confederation of Independent States)
- NEP-POL-2017-04-16 (Positive Political Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01429537. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.