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Description of key macroeconomic variables, including regional GDP and employment for NUTS-2 regions

Author

Listed:
  • Baptiste Boitier

    (ERASME - Équipe de Recherche en Analyse des Systèmes et Modélisation Économique - Ecole Centrale Paris)

  • Pascal da Costa

    (ERASME - Équipe de Recherche en Analyse des Systèmes et Modélisation Économique - Ecole Centrale Paris)

  • Pierre Le Mouel

    (ERASME - Équipe de Recherche en Analyse des Systèmes et Modélisation Économique - Ecole Centrale Paris)

  • Paul Zagamé

    (ERASME - Équipe de Recherche en Analyse des Systèmes et Modélisation Économique - Ecole Centrale Paris)

Abstract

This report has been prepared in the framework of PLUREL Work Package 1.1 (Economic Scenarios) by Paris 1 Université - Lab. ERASME. This document presents four medium-term scenarios for the European economy at both national and NUTS-2 levels. These scenarios are based on assumptions on the main economic drivers of the NEMESIS model: demography, world demand and oil price as well as policies on energy and R&D. The NEMESIS economic model provides economic indicators such as economic growth, employment, energy consumption, sectoral dynamics, etc. It is a macro-sectoral econometric model for EU-27 (excluding Cyprus and Bulgaria, including Norway); each country is modelled individually through 30 production sectors (32 in an extended version of the model) and 27 consumption goods. The model also includes a land use sector that computes land claims for agriculture and built areas. The four scenarios developed in this document are distinguished by a contrasted set of assumptions on demography, oil price, world demand, RTD effort and energy/environment regulation. They are called "A1 Hyper-tech", A2 "Extreme water", B1 "Peak oil" and B2 "Fragmentation". Economic results are mainly provided at national scale but more geographically detailed results are produced at NUTS-2 level such as GDP and employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Baptiste Boitier & Pascal da Costa & Pierre Le Mouel & Paul Zagamé, 2008. "Description of key macroeconomic variables, including regional GDP and employment for NUTS-2 regions," Working Papers hal-01044649, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01044649
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01044649
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arnaud Fougeyrollas & Pierre Le Mouël & Paul Zagamé, 2005. "Les nouvelles théories de la croissance en application. L'évaluation des politiques structurelles, le cas du protocole de Kyoto," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 56(5), pages 1089-1105.
    2. Brecard, Dorothee & Fougeyrollas, Arnaud & Le Mouel, Pierre & Lemiale, Lionel & Zagame, Paul, 2006. "Macro-economic consequences of European research policy: Prospects of the Nemesis model in the year 2030," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 910-924, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Baptiste Boitier & Pascal da Costa & Pierre Le Mouel & Paul Zagamé, 2008. "Calculation of land use price and land use claims for agriculture, transport and urban land use at national level," Working Papers hal-01044651, HAL.

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