IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpaper/hal-00570307.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Testing the Speculative Efficiency Hypothesis on CO 2 Emission Allowance Prices: Evidence from Bluenext

Author

Listed:
  • Amélie Charles

    (Audencia Recherche - Audencia Business School)

  • Olivier Darné

    (LEMNA - Laboratoire d'économie et de management de Nantes Atlantique - IEMN-IAE Nantes - Institut d'Économie et de Management de Nantes - Institut d'Administration des Entreprises - Nantes - UN - Université de Nantes)

  • Jessica Fouilloux

    (CREM - Centre de recherche en économie et management - UNICAEN - Université de Caen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - UR - Université de Rennes - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

In this paper, we attempt to examine the speculative efficiency hypothesis on CO2 emission allowance prices negotiated on Bluenext, by testing the rela- tionship between futures and spot prices from the Fama (1970) framework. This approach is based on the joint hypothesis of no risk premium and unbiasedness of futures prices. Cointegration tests are performed to confirm the legitimacy of futures and spot prices being included in the regression, following the approach proposed by Balke and Fomby (1997). The results indicate the absence of linear and nonlinear cointegration relationship between spot and futures prices. The speculative efficiency hypothesis did not hold even if the joint hypothesis is not rejected because of the existence of serial correlation in the residuals.

Suggested Citation

  • Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Jessica Fouilloux, 2011. "Testing the Speculative Efficiency Hypothesis on CO 2 Emission Allowance Prices: Evidence from Bluenext," Working Papers hal-00570307, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00570307
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00570307
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-00570307/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00570307. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.