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Pour une éthique de la modélisation économique en situation d'expertise. Le cas de la modélisation de l'avenir énergétique à moyen et long terme

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  • Olivier Godard

    (CECO - Laboratoire d'économétrie de l'École polytechnique - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Contexts of expertise are apparently very clear and simple: experts bring the knowledge and decision-makers make decisions on the basis of the information they receive. This way to present the relationship hides a more fundamental ambiguity. The latter raises an ethical issue of framing economic modelling when it is used for expertise. Specific cases of modelling energy futures and global warming policies support a more general thinking towards two directions: pointing out the conditions under which modelling can really stimulate a reflection and not only excite pavlovian reflexes or reinforce prevailing beliefs; putting into question the way standard economic modelling approaches the far distant future.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Godard, 2006. "Pour une éthique de la modélisation économique en situation d'expertise. Le cas de la modélisation de l'avenir énergétique à moyen et long terme," Working Papers hal-00243043, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00243043
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00243043
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