Beyond Present Bias: Exploring Temporal Smoothing Biases

The importance of the literature on present bias may have overlooked some other forms of temporal inconsistencies anchored in the smoothing properties of consumption. The article first clarifies how a list of axioms enable the obtention of time-dependent recursive utility functions. The properties of the latters are analysed in light of the well-known present bias but also through a temporal smoothing bias that emerges when two successives selves do no share the same aversion to fluctuations. It is shown that this new concept relates to a time-varying Morishima intertemporal elasticity of substitution. The second part of the article brings an axiomatic construction providing a parametric representation that is aimed at a careful account of future and present bias, how they relate to each other or to substitution mechanisms and is finally concerned with the testable implications of the current framework. The theory is finally applied by considering intertemporal choices with Markovian strategies and temporally consistent solutions. For some parameters configurations, there exists a multiplicity of Nash equilibria, and then an indeterminacy in the agent behaviour.