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Financial impacts of climate change mitigation policies and their macroeconomic implications: a stock-flow consistent approach

Author

Listed:
  • Emmanuel Bovari

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Gaël Giraud

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, AFD - Agence française de développement, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Florent Mc Isaac

    (AFD - Agence française de développement)

Abstract

To what extent can worldwide carbon pricing foster the transition towards a low-carbon economy and mitigate the effects of global warming? We address this question by assessing the financial impacts and macroeconomic implications of carbon pricing and public subsidies. More specifically, we evaluate the extent to which such policies are sustainable by computing the probability of remaining below two thresholds that we argue to be indicative of the stability of our current economy and climate: (1) a temperature anomaly above +2°C (a commonly acknowledged target, including in the 2015 Paris Agreement, to potentially avoid nonlinearities in the climate system) and (2) a large global debt-to-output ratio of 270%.

Suggested Citation

  • Emmanuel Bovari & Gaël Giraud & Florent Mc Isaac, 2020. "Financial impacts of climate change mitigation policies and their macroeconomic implications: a stock-flow consistent approach," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-02800491, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:pseptp:hal-02800491
    DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2019.1698406
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    Cited by:

    1. Hugo Bailly & Frédéric Mortier & Gaël Giraud, 2023. "Empirical analysis of a debt-augmented Goodwin model for the United States," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04139954, HAL.
    2. Jacques, Pierre & Delannoy, Louis & Andrieu, Baptiste & Yilmaz, Devrim & Jeanmart, Hervé & Godin, Antoine, 2023. "Assessing the economic consequences of an energy transition through a biophysical stock-flow consistent model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    3. Louis Daumas, 2021. "Should we fear transition risks - A review of the applied literature," Working Papers 2021.05, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    4. Dina Joseph & M Vetrivel, 2023. "Climate Change and Sustainability: The Role of Finance in Driving the Transition to a Greener Future," Shanlax International Journal of Management, Shanlax Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 51-53, July.
    5. Dafermos, Yannis & Nikolaidi, Maria, 2021. "How can green differentiated capital requirements affect climate risks? A dynamic macrofinancial analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Hugo Bailly & Frédéric Mortier & Gaël Giraud, 2023. "Empirical analysis of a debt-augmented Goodwin model for the United States," Working Papers hal-04139954, HAL.
    7. He, Pinglin & Zhang, Shuhao & Wang, Lei & Ning, Jing, 2023. "Will environmental taxes help to mitigate climate change? A comparative study based on OECD countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1440-1464.
    8. Goshu Desalegn & Maria Fekete-Farkas & Anita Tangl, 2022. "The Effect of Monetary Policy and Private Investment on Green Finance: Evidence from Hungary," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-18, March.

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