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Transferts de fonds et syndrome hollandais : le cas du Liban (1984-2016)

Author

Listed:
  • Cynthia Tabet

    (CREG - Centre de recherche en économie de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes)

  • Michel Rocca

    (CREG - Centre de recherche en économie de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes)

  • Bachir El Murr

    (LU / ULB - الجامعة اللبنانية [بيروت] = Lebanese University [Beirut] = Université libanaise [Beyrouth])

Abstract

Do migrant remittances generate Dutch disease in Lebanon? This article answers this question by using a theoretical model based on real exchange rate fundamentals and using the estimation of a VECM vector error correction model. Several conclusions are drawn. Remittances appreciate the real exchange rate during the period 1984– 2016. Furthermore, through ordinary least squares and generalized method of moments, the results indicate that remittances lead to an expansion of the non-tradable goods sector to the detriment of the productive sector. Thus, by generating a spending effect and a resource orientation effect in the short and long term, remittances deteriorate competitiveness and can cause Dutch disease in the case of Lebanon.

Suggested Citation

  • Cynthia Tabet & Michel Rocca & Bachir El Murr, 2021. "Transferts de fonds et syndrome hollandais : le cas du Liban (1984-2016)," Post-Print halshs-03286746, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-03286746
    DOI: 10.3917/med.194.0029
    as

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