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Poisson-model Analysis of Power Alternation in Africa

Author

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  • Yao T. Kpegli

    (UGB - Université Gaston Berger de Saint-Louis Sénégal)

  • Anne Bator

Abstract

In Africa, there are many countries that rarely know the change of their president. The aim of this paper is to study the economic and non-economic determinants of number of power alternation in Africa over the period 1990-2015. The poisson regression is used. The results indicate that the growth of the gross domestic product per capita has a negative impact on the number of political change while the democracy index and the coup have a positive influence.
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Suggested Citation

  • Yao T. Kpegli & Anne Bator, 2019. "Poisson-model Analysis of Power Alternation in Africa," Post-Print halshs-02900779, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-02900779
    DOI: 10.32479/ijefi.6335
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baturo, Alexander, 2010. "The Stakes of Losing Office, Term Limits and Democracy," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(3), pages 635-662, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nguenda Anya, Saturnin Bertrand & Nzepang, Fabrice, 2022. "The role of the separation of democratic powers on structural transformation in Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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