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The extreme downside risk of the S&P 500 stock index

Author

Listed:
  • Sofiane Aboura

    (CEREG - Centre de Recherche sur la gestion et la Finance - DRM UMR 7088 - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, DRM - Dauphine Recherches en Management - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Extreme value theory has been widely applied in insurance and finance to model rare events. Plenty of such events have occurred in financial markets during the last two decades, including stock market crashes, currency crises, or large bankruptcies. This article applies extreme value theory results to quantify the extreme downside risk of the S&P 500 stock index in light of the recent systemic banking crisis. The lower tail of the premier American stock index distribution reveals how deep the impact of the recent financial crisis is.

Suggested Citation

  • Sofiane Aboura, 2009. "The extreme downside risk of the S&P 500 stock index," Post-Print halshs-00638075, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00638075
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00638075
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    Keywords

    Extreme Value Theory; Risk management;

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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