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Convergence of fiscal policies in EMU: a unit root test with structural break

Author

Listed:
  • Francisco Serranito

    (CEPN - Centre d'Economie de l'Université Paris Nord (ancienne affiliation) - UP13 - Université Paris 13 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Christophe Blot

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans [2008-2011] - UO - Université d'Orléans - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The aim of this study is first to determine whether the fiscal policy amongEMU countries have converged and then to identify the source of theconvergence process. The convergence of fiscal policies was at the coreof the fiscal criteria imposed by the Maastricht treaty but it may alsohave resulted from the economic and financial integration that precededthe Treaty. Some unit-root tests are implemented on the cross-countryvariance for various fiscal policy indicators where a break in the interceptand the trend is allowed to catch whether the convergence is due to institutionalarrangements or to economic integration. We conclude that thefiscal position has converged but the break date, selected before 1992,indicates that the convergence process preceded the Maastricht treaty.Considering the fiscal receipts, the hypothesis of convergence is acceptedonly when they are adjusted from the cyclical component. The convergenceof fiscal expenditures is finally clearly rejected.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco Serranito & Christophe Blot, 2006. "Convergence of fiscal policies in EMU: a unit root test with structural break," Post-Print halshs-00174163, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00174163
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Apergis, Nicholas & Cooray, Arusha, 2014. "Tax revenues convergence across ASEAN, Pacific and Oceania countries: Evidence from club convergence," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 11-21.
    2. Francisco Delgado & Maria Jose Presno, 2011. "Convergence of fiscal pressure in the EU: a time series approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(28), pages 4257-4267.
    3. Thushyanthan Baskaran, 2009. "Did the Maastricht treaty matter for macroeconomic performance? A difference‐in‐difference investigation," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(3), pages 331-358, August.
    4. Delgado, Francisco J. & Fernández-Rodríguez, Elena & Martínez-Arias, Antonio & Presno, Maria J., 2019. "Club convergence in the corporate income tax: The case of European effective rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 942-953.
    5. Roberto Censolo & Caterina Colombo, 2015. "The Early Consequences of the Crisis on Fiscal Convergence in the EU," Working Papers 2015024, University of Ferrara, Department of Economics.
    6. Baskaran, Thushyanthan, 2009. "Did the Maastricht treaty matter for macroeconomic performance?," MPRA Paper 30106, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Francisco J. Delgado Rivero (*), "undated". "Are The Tax Mix And The Fiscal Pressure Converging In The European Union?," Working Papers 11-06 Classification-JEL , Instituto de Estudios Fiscales.
    8. Elena Villar Rubio & Quesada Rubio & José Manuel & Valentín Molina Moreno, 2015. "Convergence Analysis of Environmental Fiscal Pressure across EU-15 Countries," Energy & Environment, , vol. 26(5), pages 789-802, September.
    9. Moutinho, Victor & Robaina-Alves, Margarita & Mota, Jorge, 2014. "Carbon dioxide emissions intensity of Portuguese industry and energy sectors: A convergence analysis and econometric approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 438-449.

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