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Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree

Author

Listed:
  • Minh Ha-Duong

    (CIRED - centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement - Cirad - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AgroParisTech - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Rob Swart

    (Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency - Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)

  • Lenny Bernstein

    (L.S. Bernstein & Associates, L.L.C. - L.S. Bernstein & Associates, L.L.C.)

  • Arthur Petersen

    (Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency - Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)

Abstract

Looking back over three and a half Assessment Reports, we see that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given increasing attention to the management and reporting of uncertainties, but coordination across working groups (WGs) has remained an issue. We argue that there are good reasons for working groups to use different methods to assess uncertainty, thus it is better that working groups agree to disagree rather than seek to bring everybody on one party line.

Suggested Citation

  • Minh Ha-Duong & Rob Swart & Lenny Bernstein & Arthur Petersen, 2007. "Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree," Post-Print halshs-00117303, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00117303
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00117303
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    Cited by:

    1. Eckhause, Jeremy & Herold, Johannes, 2014. "Using real options to determine optimal funding strategies for CO2 capture, transport and storage projects in the European Union," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 115-134.
    2. David Budescu & Han-Hui Por & Stephen Broomell, 2012. "Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(2), pages 181-200, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    IPCC; uncertainty;

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