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Impact d’un embargo sur les importations russes d’énergie en Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Sigit Perdana

    (EPFL - Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne)

  • Maxime Schenckery

    (IFPEN - IFP Energies nouvelles, IFP School)

  • Marc Vielle

    (EPFL - Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne)

Abstract

Nous utilisons un modèle macroéconomique pour évaluer les impacts économiques d'un embargo de l'Union européenne sur ses importations d'énergie fossile en provenance de la Russie. Dans le contexte du nouveau paquet de mesures en faveur du climat appelé «Fit for 55», les restrictions à l'importation sont mises en place de façon graduelle pour atteindre un embargo total en 2025. Cet embargo renchérirait significativement le coût de l'approvisionnement énergétique de l'Europe. La demande de gaz naturel devrait baisser dans tous les secteurs, le principal contributeur de cette baisse étant la production d'électricité. Le coût s'élèverait à 2500 € par citoyen européen sur la période 2022-2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Sigit Perdana & Maxime Schenckery & Marc Vielle, 2022. "Impact d’un embargo sur les importations russes d’énergie en Europe," Post-Print hal-04866419, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04866419
    as

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