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Smuggling of forced migrants to Europe: a matching model

Author

Listed:
  • Olivier Charlot

    (THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - CY - CY Cergy Paris Université)

  • Claire Naiditch

    (LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Radu Vranceanu

    (ESSEC Business School and THEMA (UMR 8184) - ESSEC Business School - THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - CY - CY Cergy Paris Université)

Abstract

This paper develops a matching model to analyze the smuggling market for forced migrants, building on the empirical evidence related to the smuggling of migrants from the Horn of Africa and the Middle East to Europe in the last decade. Comparative statics for the equilibrium solution reveal that coercion-based measures targeting the smugglers reduce the number of irregular migrants and smugglers at the expense of migrants' overall welfare. Slightly increasing legal migration opportunities has the interesting feature of reducing irregular flows, without deteriorating migrants' welfare or increasing the total number of migrants. An extremely restrictive asylum policy has similar effects in terms of the flows of irregular migrants as a quite loose one, with the largest flows of irregular migrants occurring under a "middle-range" policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Charlot & Claire Naiditch & Radu Vranceanu, 2024. "Smuggling of forced migrants to Europe: a matching model," Post-Print hal-04551058, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04551058
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-024-00993-1
    as

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    Keywords

    Migrant smuggling ; Irregular migration ; Forced migration ; Matching model ; Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J46 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Informal Labor Market

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