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Empirical Evidence of Overbidding in M&A Contests

Author

Listed:
  • Eric de Bodt
  • Jean-Gabriel Cousin

    (Université de Lille)

  • Richard Roll

Abstract

Surprisingly few papers have attempted to develop a direct empirical test for overbidding in merger and acquisition contests. We develop such a test grounded on a necessary condition for profit-maximizing bidding behavior. The test is not subject to endogeneity concerns. Our results strongly support the existence of overbidding. We provide evidence that overbidding is related to conflicts of interest, but also some indirect evidence that it arises from failing to fully account for the winner's curse.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric de Bodt & Jean-Gabriel Cousin & Richard Roll, 2018. "Empirical Evidence of Overbidding in M&A Contests," Post-Print hal-04408109, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04408109
    DOI: 10.1017/S0022109018000273
    as

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    Cited by:

    1. Lauterbach, Beni & Mugerman, Yevgeny & Shemesh, Joshua, 2024. "Prospect theory in M&A: Do historical purchase prices affect merger offer premiums and announcement returns?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).

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