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How Do Investor’s Expectations and Emotions Drive Financial Asset Prices in Times Crises and Uncertainty: The Analysis of Experts' Opinion

Author

Listed:
  • Georges Prat

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jean-François Boulier
  • Catherine d'Hont
  • Fredj Jawadi

    (LUMEN - Lille University Management Lab - ULR 4999 - Université de Lille)

  • Philippe Rozin
  • Richard Taffler

Abstract

This paper analyses and reproduces the main opinions and views of several experts (academics and professionals) who met at the 2nd IEAP (Investor's Emotions and Asset Price) meeting that was organized at the IAE Lille University School of Management on the 1st Februrary 2023. In particular, we analyze, first, the dynamics of financial asset prices as well as commodities prices during the last decade and we provide some projections about the future. Second, we discuss the role played by investor's emotions as well as sentiment to drive financial asset prices as well as the contribution of fundamental factors while distinguishing financial markets from commodities and cryptos. Third, we document the dynamics of financial asset prices in the context of uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, post-COVID-19 period and high inflation. Finally, we provide some suggestions about the further extension of usual financial asset price models to include behavioral factors (emotions, sentiment) as well as uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Georges Prat & Jean-François Boulier & Catherine d'Hont & Fredj Jawadi & Philippe Rozin & Richard Taffler, 2023. "How Do Investor’s Expectations and Emotions Drive Financial Asset Prices in Times Crises and Uncertainty: The Analysis of Experts' Opinion," Post-Print hal-04351228, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04351228
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