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Does the Selective Erasure of Protected Areas Raise Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon?
[L'effacement sélectif des zones protégées augmente-t-il la déforestation en Amazonie brésilienne ?]

Author

Listed:
  • Derya Keles

    (UMR PSAE - Paris-Saclay Applied Economics - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Alexander Pfaff

    (Sanford School of Public Policy - Duke University [Durham])

  • Michael Mascia

    (Conservation International)

Abstract

Protected areas (PAs) are the leading policy to lower deforestation. Yet resistance by land users leads PAs to be created in remote sites, lowering impact. Resistance continues after PA creation, with both illegal deforestation and advocacy for PADDD, that is, reducing PA status (downgrading) or PA size (partial or full erasure, downsizing or degazettement). For the Brazilian Amazon, we estimate 2010–15 forest impacts of 2009–12 PA erasures, on average and for distinct states. Before panel-DID regression, to find similar controls we matched using static characteristics and 8–10 years of pretreatment deforestation. PA erasures should raise deforestation if erased PAs faced and blocked pressures. Consistent with this, three conditions for "environmental selection" yielded little short-run impact from PADDD: low pressures, unblocked higher pressures, and pressures blocked less by those PAs selected for erasures. Yet for "development selection," with PA erasures in sites with pressures plus enforcement, PADDD yielded increased deforestation.

Suggested Citation

  • Derya Keles & Alexander Pfaff & Michael Mascia, 2023. "Does the Selective Erasure of Protected Areas Raise Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon? [L'effacement sélectif des zones protégées augmente-t-il la déforestation en Amazonie brésilienne ?]," Post-Print hal-04345214, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04345214
    DOI: 10.1086/723543
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    Cited by:

    1. Thiago Fonseca Morello Ramalho da Silva & Paula Carvalho Pereda & Ana Carolina M. Pessoa & Liana O. Anderson, 2024. "Staggered protection: a study of the dynamic effects of protected areas," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2024_02, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), revised 09 May 2024.

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