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Transmission channels of international financial crises to African stock markets: the case of the euro sovereign debt crisis
[Canaux de transmission des crises financières internationales aux marchés financiers africains: le cas de la dette souveraine européenne]

Author

Listed:
  • Sandrine Kablan

    (ERUDITE - Equipe de Recherche sur l’Utilisation des Données Individuelles en lien avec la Théorie Economique - UPEM - Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12)

  • Olfa Kaabia

    (INSEEC - Institut des hautes études économiques et commerciales | School of Business and Economics)

Abstract

This article investigates the effects of the European sovereign debt crisis on African stock markets within a Bayesian shrinkage VAR framework. This method allows us to consider both North African and Sub-Saharan African stock markets, and provides a flexible parsimonious specification. The results reveal varying reactions of the impulse response functions. The most exposed African stock markets are those of Egypt, South Africa and Mauritius, while the least affected stock market is, surprisingly, that of Ivory Coast. Our analysis shows that, in addition to direct transmission, several macroeconomic and market channels, such as commodities, exports, and exchange rates, are relevant. Specifically, countries with strong commercial links to European countries will be most impacted by the crisis. The severity of transmission also depends on the country's dependence on commodities.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandrine Kablan & Olfa Kaabia, 2017. "Transmission channels of international financial crises to African stock markets: the case of the euro sovereign debt crisis [Canaux de transmission des crises financières internationales aux march," Post-Print hal-04281441, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04281441
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1383597
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    Cited by:

    1. Marina Yu. Malkina & Anton O. Ovcharov, 2022. "Financial Contagion of Russian Companies from the Oil Market under the Influence of Sanctions and Pandemic Shock," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 4, pages 8-28, August.
    2. Adeabah, David & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "How far have we come and where should we go after 30+ years of research on Africa's emerging financial markets? A systematic review and a bibliometric network analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    3. Bello, Jaliyyah & Guo, Jiaqi & Newaz, Mohammad Khaleq, 2022. "Financial contagion effects of major crises in African stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. EnDer Su, 2021. "Testing stock market contagion properties between large and small stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 147-202, July.
    5. Bajaj, Vimmy & Kumar, Pawan & Singh, Vipul Kumar, 2022. "Linkage dynamics of sovereign credit risk and financial markets: A bibliometric analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Jiang, Hai & Tang, Shenfeng & Li, Lifang & Xu, Fangming & Di, Qian, 2022. "Re-examining the Contagion Channels of Global Financial Crises: Evidence from the Twelve Years since the US Subprime Crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

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