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COVID-19 et Guerre Russie-Ukraine : Analyse des Effets sur les Prix à la Production des Services au Mali

Author

Listed:
  • Lassana Toure

    (Université de Ségou)

  • Cheick Kader M'Baye

    (Université des sciences sociales et de gestion de Bamako - USSGB - Université des sciences sociales et de gestion de Bamako)

Abstract

In this article, we analyze the effects of COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war on producer prices for services in Mali. More specifically, we use the tools of descriptive and inferential statistics (coefficients of variation, comparison tests, and principal component analysis (PCA)) to infer the impact of these two shocks, in particular by analyzing the relationship between services output price variables on the one hand, and secondly, between these variables and a number of macroeconomic and health indicators (inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, number of confirmed cases of COVID-19) on monthly data extending from 2017 to 2022. The results show that, in addition to the effects of COVID-19, the effects of the Russia-Ukraine war on producer prices for services are mainly channeled through the inflation rate and the exchange rate. These effects of the Russia-Ukraine war mainly affect producer prices for education, information and communication services, as well as support and office services. Interest rates, on the other hand, are a medium- to long-term transmission channel for the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Lassana Toure & Cheick Kader M'Baye, 2024. "COVID-19 et Guerre Russie-Ukraine : Analyse des Effets sur les Prix à la Production des Services au Mali," Post-Print hal-04219261, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04219261
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04219261v1
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    Keywords

    Russia-Ukraine war; COVID-19; producer prices; services sector; PCA method.;
    All these keywords.

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