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Energy supply, public debt, and economic growth: Causality analysis for a panel of OECD European countries

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed Awada

    (MRE - Montpellier Recherche en Economie - UM - Université de Montpellier)

  • Moustapha Badran

    (MRE - Montpellier Recherche en Economie - UM - Université de Montpellier)

  • Imtynan Khalifeh

    (MRE - Montpellier Recherche en Economie - UM - Université de Montpellier)

  • Jules Sadefo Kamdem

    (MRE - Montpellier Recherche en Economie - UM - Université de Montpellier)

Abstract

This paper addresses the causal relationship between economic growth, public debt, and energy supply, using annual panel data analysis over the period 1970-2021 of 21 OECD European countries divided into two groups: GIIPS and Non-GIIPS countries, through a tri- variate causality model. The findings confirm a strong positive relationship between the energy supply and economic growth, but also a negative relationship between the public debt and economic growth on the long-term using a vector error correction model. Granger causality's outcomes show evidence that the panel causality relationships for the Non-GIIPS countries follow the same path and directions for the full sample, emphasizing that the economic policies for these countries rely on the energy supply which is a fundamental factor for economic growth and living standards.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed Awada & Moustapha Badran & Imtynan Khalifeh & Jules Sadefo Kamdem, 2023. "Energy supply, public debt, and economic growth: Causality analysis for a panel of OECD European countries," Post-Print hal-04134679, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04134679
    as

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