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An investigation into the forces shaping the evolution of global shipping alliances

Author

Listed:
  • Huizhu Ju

    (Dalian Maritime University)

  • Qingcheng Zeng

    (Dalian Maritime University)

  • Hercules Haralambides

    (Dalian Maritime University, CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Erasmus University Rotterdam)

  • Yimeng Li

    (Dalian Maritime University)

Abstract

Global shipping alliances have become an important institution in international seaborne trade. Their raison d'être is higher efficiency and lower costs, to the benefit of the consumer. However, experiences from GSA operations during the COVID-19 supply chain crisis show that GSAs may have considerable market power, not quite aligned with the spirit of the lawmaker who has exempted them from antitrust laws. This raises many questions this paper attempts to answer: What drives the formation, stability and dissolution of GSAs? And have external and internal factors, such as government policies, ship sizes and freight rates, had always the same effect on GSAs over time? We decompose industry concentration (HHI) into seven components. This is done based on the Variational Mode Decomposition model. The components are subsequently reconstructed through gray correlation. Next, a Generalized Additive Model is specified, to analyze the relationships between influencing factors and the evolution of GSAs. We look both at the development (trend) of industry concentration, as well as its fluctuations (cyclicality) over time. We show that effects vary over time, with the same factors having different impacts on GSAs at different times. The paper can assist policymakers in their efforts to regulate and supervise container shipping.

Suggested Citation

  • Huizhu Ju & Qingcheng Zeng & Hercules Haralambides & Yimeng Li, 2023. "An investigation into the forces shaping the evolution of global shipping alliances," Post-Print hal-04046276, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04046276
    DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2023.2180549
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hercules Haralambides, 2023. "The state-of-play in maritime economics and logistics research (2017–2023)," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 25(3), pages 429-451, September.
    2. Arman Gülnur & Nikolaos Antypas, 2023. "Favourable funding conditions: friend or foe of shipping M&As?," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 25(4), pages 728-754, December.
    3. Hercules Haralambides, 2024. "The Red Sea crisis and chokepoints to trade and international shipping," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 26(3), pages 367-390, September.

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