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Are African exports that weak? A trade in value added approach

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  • Arnold Njike

    (LEDA-DIAL - Développement, Institutions et Modialisation - LEDa - Laboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

African countries are known to export less than any other group of countries in the world. Many studies have advanced that the main reason for this is the high level of transport costs due to the poor quality of transport infrastructures on the African continent. We first show that, depending on the estimator used, African countries as an aggregate do not necessarily trade a lower volume of gross exports than other countries on average, even though they clearly underperform in exports of final goods. This underperformance, reflected by the greater impact of bilateral trade costs such as distance on African exports of final goods compared to other countries, is not observed for African intermediate goods flows. Second, we formulate a model for trade in value added by adapting the standard gravity equation to take into account the structure of value added exports. The proposed model points up the importance of the indirect trade costs of third countries via which a country of origin's value added transits before reaching its final destination. When we control for these indirect trade costs in the value added trade estimation, the additional impact of the bilateral trade costs observed for African countries' final goods exports is six times lower.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnold Njike, 2021. "Are African exports that weak? A trade in value added approach," Post-Print hal-03959133, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03959133
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.13019
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    Cited by:

    1. Mold, Andrew & Munyegera, Kasim Ggombe & Mukwaya, Rodgers, 2022. "What Trade-in-Value added databases tell us about Continental Integration – and what it means for the AfCFTA," Conference papers 333505, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Million Phiri & Liness Shasha & Emmanuel Musonda & Mikidadi Muhanga & Musonda Lemba, 2023. "Choice of desired family size among young women in Zambia: what matters?," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 1-18, September.

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