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Weather Shocks and Firm Exports in Developing Countries
[Chocs météorologiques et exportations des firmes dans les pays en développement]

Author

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  • Clément Nedoncelle

    (UMR PSAE - Paris-Saclay Applied Economics - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Julien Wolfersberger

    (UMR PSAE - Paris-Saclay Applied Economics - AgroParisTech - Université Paris-Saclay - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

In this paper, we study how weather shocks affect firm-level exports in low and middle income countries. While the impacts are negative on average, we find that large firms are significantly less affected. This feature is robust across sub-samples, specifications and confounding factors. We then examine the aggregate implications of these firm-level effects by studying changes in total exports under different climate scenarios by the end of the century. Results show that the overall trade-deterring effect of future weather conditions would be lower if there were more large firms in low and middle income countries. It suggests that the existing firm-size distribution may increase the aggregate cost of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Clément Nedoncelle & Julien Wolfersberger, 2024. "Weather Shocks and Firm Exports in Developing Countries [Chocs météorologiques et exportations des firmes dans les pays en développement]," Post-Print hal-03753384, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03753384
    DOI: 10.1007/s10290-024-00563-3
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://agroparistech.hal.science/hal-03753384v3
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicolas Berman & Philippe Martin & Thierry Mayer, 2012. "How do Different Exporters React to Exchange Rate Changes?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(1), pages 437-492.
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    4. Kalkuhl, Matthias & Wenz, Leonie, 2020. "The impact of climate conditions on economic production. Evidence from a global panel of regions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
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    Keywords

    Climate change; Economic development; International trade; Firms Structure;
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