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Taux de change : mer calme

Author

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  • Christine Rifflart

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

reaking off with three years of depreciation, the dollar exchange rate has appreciated in 2005 in relation with the euro and the yen. In spite of the deterioration of the current account on the whole year, private capital inflows returned to the US market, attracted by high interest rates and some strong return expectations. Moreover, a one off incentive measure has stimulated the inflows of US earnings. In 2006 and 2007, the strengthening of the growth and a more aggressive monetary policy in the EA will change perceptions for investors. The euro will become stronger to 1,3 dollar in the beginning of 2007, after 1,2 in the 2006 first term. The yen will be sold at 107 yen for 1 dollar, after 117 nowadays.

Suggested Citation

  • Christine Rifflart, 2006. "Taux de change : mer calme," Post-Print hal-03459171, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03459171
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.097.0169
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03459171
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