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L’Inde post-COVID sera-t-elle encore un pays émergent ?

Author

Listed:
  • Christophe Jaffrelot

    (CERI - Centre de recherches internationales (Sciences Po, CNRS) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Il y a cinq ans encore, l'Inde était saluée par le Fonds monétaire international (FMI) comme un des moteurs de la croissance mondiale, avec un taux qui dépassait 7% - et qui la plaçait dans le trio de tête. Entre 2016 et 2019, l'érosion constante de son dynamisme économique avait fait tomber le taux de croissance à 4,2%. La crise de la Covid-19 a précipité celle de l'économie indienne, dont le taux de croissance, devenu négatif, devrait s'établir à -10% en 2020, ce qui la placerait, d'après le FMI, au 164e rang mondial (sur les 193 Etats pris en compte). Au-delà des aspects conjoncturels de cet accès de faiblesse, l'économie indienne est "plombée" par des facteurs structurels qui finissent par alimenter les doutes des observateurs les plus avertis...

Suggested Citation

  • Christophe Jaffrelot, 2021. "L’Inde post-COVID sera-t-elle encore un pays émergent ?," Post-Print hal-03380852, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03380852
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03380852
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