IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-03275473.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Long and short-term impacts of regulation in the cryptocurrency market

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmad Chokor

    (CERAG - Centre d'études et de recherches appliquées à la gestion - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes)

  • Élise Alfieri

    (IRG - Institut de Recherche en Gestion - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12 - Université Gustave Eiffel)

Abstract

Since cryptocurrencies were first created, the related markets have been known for their fluctuations, whether in terms of high volatility or illiquidity. Partially for those reasons, public authorities and regulators around the world have frequently attempted to regulate those markets. We aim in our study to examine whether cryptocurrency traders perceive market regulation in a beneficial way. Using an event study methodology for daily data covering the 2015-2019 period, we assess how regulatory news and events have affected returns in cryptocurrency markets. We further assess whether financial cryptocurrency characteristics and in particular their liquidity can explain cross-sectional variations in cryptocurrency return reactions. The results suggest that events that increase the probability of regulation adoption are associated with negative abnormal returns for the cryptocurrencies concerned. We also find that the magnitude of the return reactions is not the same across all the cryptocurrencies in our sample. We show that investors reacted less negatively for the most illiquid cryptocurrencies and for those that incurred more information asymmetry risk. Finally, we analyze a longer-term effect of regulatory events by studying the performance of cryptocurrencies. The risk-adjusted return in the preevent period is positive and significant, but it appears not to be significantly different from zero in the post-event period.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad Chokor & Élise Alfieri, 2021. "Long and short-term impacts of regulation in the cryptocurrency market," Post-Print hal-03275473, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03275473
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2021.05.005
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03275473
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-03275473/document
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.qref.2021.05.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ammous, Saifedean, 2018. "Can cryptocurrencies fulfil the functions of money?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 38-51.
    2. Guntram B. Wolff & Maria Demertzis, 2018. "The economic potential and risks of crypto assets- is a regulatory framework needed?," Policy Contributions 27194, Bruegel.
    3. Trimborn, Simon & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2018. "CRIX an Index for cryptocurrencies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 107-122.
    4. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    5. Élise Alfieri & Radu Burlacu & Geoffroy Enjolras, 2017. "On the nature and the financial performance of Bitcoin," Post-Print hal-01960475, HAL.
    6. Corrado, Charles J., 1989. "A nonparametric test for abnormal security-price performance in event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 385-395, August.
    7. Boehmer, Ekkehart & Masumeci, Jim & Poulsen, Annette B., 1991. "Event-study methodology under conditions of event-induced variance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 253-272, December.
    8. Morten Linnemann Bech & Rodney Garratt, 2017. "Central bank cryptocurrencies," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    9. Zhang, Ivy Xiying, 2007. "Economic consequences of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 74-115, September.
    10. Cheah, Eng-Tuck & Fry, John, 2015. "Speculative bubbles in Bitcoin markets? An empirical investigation into the fundamental value of Bitcoin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 32-36.
    11. Elise Alfieri & Radu Burlacu & Geoffroy Enjolras, 2019. "On the nature and financial performance of bitcoin," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 20(2), pages 114-137, March.
    12. Raphael Auer & Stijn Claessens, 2018. "Regulating cryptocurrencies: assessing market reactions," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    13. Hio Loi, 2018. "The Liquidity of Bitcoin," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(1), pages 13-22, January.
    14. Amihud, Yakov, 2002. "Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 31-56, January.
    15. Akyildirim, Erdinc & Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Sensoy, Ahmet & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "The relationship between implied volatility and cryptocurrency returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    16. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    17. Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles & Lucey, Brian & Meegan, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "Cryptocurrency reaction to FOMC Announcements: Evidence of heterogeneity based on blockchain stack position," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    18. Fry, John & Cheah, Eng-Tuck, 2016. "Negative bubbles and shocks in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 343-352.
    19. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    20. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    21. Dyhrberg, Anne H. & Foley, Sean & Svec, Jiri, 2018. "How investible is Bitcoin? Analyzing the liquidity and transaction costs of Bitcoin markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 140-143.
    22. Wei, Wang Chun, 2018. "Liquidity and market efficiency in cryptocurrencies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 21-24.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Copestake, Alexander & Furceri, Davide & Gonzalez-Dominguez, Pablo, 2023. "Crypto market responses to digital asset policies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    2. Brini, Alessio & Lenz, Jimmie, 2024. "Pricing cryptocurrency options with machine learning regression for handling market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Ayush Singh & Anshu K. Jha & Amit N. Kumar, 2024. "Prediction of Cryptocurrency Prices through a Path Dependent Monte Carlo Simulation," Papers 2405.12988, arXiv.org.
    4. Zhao, Xiaojuan & Wang, Ye & Liu, Weiyi, 2024. "Someone like you: Lottery-like preference and the cross-section of expected returns in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Zhang, Pengcheng & Xu, Kunpeng & Qi, Jiayin, 2023. "The impact of regulation on cryptocurrency market volatility in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic — evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 222-246.
    6. Chengying He & Yong Li & Tianqi Wang & Salman Ali Shah, 2024. "Is cryptocurrency a hedging tool during economic policy uncertainty? An empirical investigation," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Griffith, Todd & Clancey-Shang, Danjue, 2023. "Cryptocurrency regulation and market quality," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah, 2024. "Gauging Demand for Cryptocurrency over the Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 37-55, July.
    9. Curcio, Domenico & D’Amico, Simona & Gianfrancesco, Igor & Vioto, Davide, 2024. "Understanding the impact of the financial technology revolution on systemic risk: Evidence from US and EU diversified financials," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    11. Daehan Kim & Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin & Doojin Ryu, 2021. "Are suspicious activity reporting requirements for cryptocurrency exchanges effective?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-17, December.
    12. Élise Alfieri & Yann Ferrat, 2022. "The larger compensation for miners, the higher positive effect on the financial performance of cryptocurrencies [Une meilleure rémunération des mineurs : un effet positif sur la performance financi," Post-Print hal-03670074, HAL.
    13. Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A comparison of cryptocurrency volatility-benchmarking new and mature asset classes," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-38, December.
    14. Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A Comparison of Cryptocurrency Volatility-benchmarking New and Mature Asset Classes," Papers 2404.04962, arXiv.org.
    15. Martins, António Miguel, 2024. "Short-term market impact of crypto firms’ bankruptcies on cryptocurrency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
    16. Kumar Kulbhaskar, Anamika & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2023. "Breaking news headlines: Impact on trading activity in the cryptocurrency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    17. Babaei, Golnoosh & Giudici, Paolo & Raffinetti, Emanuela, 2022. "Explainable artificial intelligence for crypto asset allocation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chokor, Ahmad & Alfieri, Elise, 2021. "Long and short-term impacts of regulation in the cryptocurrency market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 157-173.
    2. Flori, Andrea, 2019. "News and subjective beliefs: A Bayesian approach to Bitcoin investments," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 336-356.
    3. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ignasi Merediz‐Solà, 2021. "Where Do We Stand In Cryptocurrencies Economic Research? A Survey Based On Hybrid Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 377-407, April.
    4. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.
    5. Luo, Di & Mishra, Tapas & Yarovaya, Larisa & Zhang, Zhuang, 2021. "Investing during a Fintech Revolution: Ambiguity and return risk in cryptocurrencies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    6. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "A Survey on Volatility Fluctuations in the Decentralized Cryptocurrency Financial Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-46, June.
    7. Nicolau, Juan Luis & Sharma, Abhinav, 2022. "A review of research into drivers of firm value through event studies in tourism and hospitality: Launching the Annals of Tourism Research curated collection on drivers of firm value through event stu," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    8. Kiesel, Florian & Ries, Jörg M. & Tielmann, Artur, 2017. "Reprint of “The impact of mergers and acquisitions on shareholders' wealth in the logistics service industry”," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 261-277.
    9. Toan Luu Duc Huynh, 2019. "Spillover Risks on Cryptocurrency Markets: A Look from VAR-SVAR Granger Causality and Student’s-t Copulas," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-19, April.
    10. Brauneis, Alexander & Mestel, Roland & Theissen, Erik, 2021. "What drives the liquidity of cryptocurrencies? A long-term analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    11. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David, 2019. "Cryptocurrency market contagion: Market uncertainty, market complexity, and dynamic portfolios," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 37-51.
    12. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Is there a risk-return trade-off in cryptocurrency markets? The case of Bitcoin," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    13. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Efficiency and Profitable Trading Opportunities in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, April.
    14. Shaen Corbet & Les Oxley, 2023. "Investigating the Academic Response to Cryptocurrencies: Insights from Research Diversification as Separated by Journal Ranking," Review of Corporate Finance, now publishers, vol. 3(4), pages 487-528, September.
    15. Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "Liquidity connectedness in cryptocurrency market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-25, December.
    16. Melisa Ozdamar & Levent Akdeniz & Ahmet Sensoy, 2021. "Lottery-like preferences and the MAX effect in the cryptocurrency market," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-27, December.
    17. Pho, Kim Hung & Ly, Sel & Lu, Richard & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2021. "Is Bitcoin a better portfolio diversifier than gold? A copula and sectoral analysis for China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    18. Kiesel, Florian & Ries, Jörg M. & Tielmann, Artur, 2017. "The impact of mergers and acquisitions on shareholders' wealth in the logistics service industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 781-797.
    19. Smales, L.A., 2022. "Investor attention in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    20. Dionysia Dionysiou, 2015. "Choosing Among Alternative Long-Run Event-Study Techniques," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 158-198, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03275473. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.